Cowan is a federal seat in WA, north of Perth's CBD, which is currently held by Ms Azza Mahmoud Fawzi Hosseini Ali el Serougi aka Anne Aly (ALP). Ms Aly won the seat in 2016 after a controversial recount on a very narrow margin. Ms Aly decided to be sworn into federal office on the Koran.
As of this morning (23 May 2019) the primary votes according to the AEC Tally Room are as follows:
|COOPER, Mark||The Greens WA||6,961|
|ALY, Anne||Australian Labor Party||28,482|
|WESTCOTT, Peter||United Australia Party||1,792|
|LEBRASSE, Andre||Australian Christians||1,688|
|MUNDY, Sheila||Pauline Hanson's One Nation||4,031|
|BEDFORD, Paul J||Shooters, Fishers and Farmers||1,244|
Assuming the majority of Greens voters preference Labor over Liberal and the majority of UAP, AC, PHON and SFF preference Liberals over Labor, the Two Candidate Preferred vote should stand at around LIB 38,339 vs ALP 35,443.
However, the AEC shows ALP 37,265 vs LIB 36,517 in the TCP count.
How believable is this? Would half the Christians, Shooters, Hansonites and Palmer voters preference an Islamist? We checked their HTV cards. Except Greens, all minors preferenced Libs ahead of Labs.
Further, five days after close of ballots, the AEC still doesn’t show the votes cast in the Early Voting Centre at 57 Shenton Ave in Joondalup. Have these votes been lost? Are they held back for a ‘special’ purpose?
What is happening in Cowan, again?